Probabilistic Evaluation of Target Earthquake-Resistant Level Derived from Requirements of Users
- For better indication of performance reflecting user's needs -

HIRATA Kyoko

Associate Professor, Department of Housing and Architecture, Faculty of Home Economics, Japan Women's University
hirata@fc.jwu.ac.jp

Abstract:

Japan is well-known as an earthquake prone country. The safety level of Japanese buildings is determined by their seismic performance. Buildings also have value as social property, so that Japanese society expects a certain seismic safety level. However, no socially explicit consensus has yet been determined on a standard of seismic safety.
However since the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake of 1995, building users' voices have become louder in expressing their desire for a clear indication of a seismic safety level that expresses a building's expected seismic performance. The method of representing seismic safety level can be understood by engineers, but this is difficult for users. Users do not have a clear grasp of safety level. It is also difficult to represent the seismic level of the whole building using only one safety index. Thus there have been no attempts to use a single index. This study was carried out to evaluate probabilistically a desirable target seismic level from user questionnaires using a structural reliability theory.
This paper attempts a quantitative evaluation based on social needs of users for target seismic safety level. The results of this study show how users' requirement levels can be indicated as a reliability index beta. Answers on required reliability obtained from about six hundred questionnaires of users from all over the country were analyzed, and then a target level was calculated. Users request higher levels of safety than are available at present. Engineers have never seen user needs for social target level of building safety, but this new method enables a socially desirable level to be evaluated quantitatively.